SMITH'S RESEARCH & GRADINGS

The Demographic Reckoning: Colleges and the Future of America’s Economy

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Demographics, Higher Education, and Future Economic Paths: It was H.G. Wells, author of The Time Machine and War of the Worlds, who stated, “History is a race between education and catastrophe.” In the early part of the 21st century his words have considerable resonance. Much of what is guiding the AI, bioengineering, and space revolutions rests on the foundation of a well-educated and trained work force. Demands for people with education and training in the broad realm of STEM (science, technology, engineering and math) as well as medicine are only going to increase. Higher education has a major role to play in this, but many US institutions currently are struggling to meet these demands. Compounding this challenge is a coming demographic cliff that will reduce enrollments. This has economic, political and social ramifications. The US is the world’s third most populous country,...

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Inflation, elections and geopolitics

Inflation, Elections, and Busy Geopolitics

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: To put it mildly, times are challenging. Inflation is up, voter moods are ugly, and the geopolitical landscape is increasingly more daunting. Volatility for markets is coming from many directions –…...

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Global economy and foreign direct investment

High Hopes on the Economy and FDI

October 13, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (as of October 6th) puts 3rd quarter real GDP at a robust 3.7%. Although this is slower than earlier reads, the pace is still strong,…...

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High-yield municipal bonds

The Daily Grind

No Calm Before the Storm If you blink, you will have missed something. The bull market continues to snort ahead. Bond markets are seeing considerable new issue, which is being gobbled up. The key narratives shaping markets are inflation (which…...

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Municipal bond market commentary

Market Commentary

James Kellum, Jr., Executive Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said, “As summer continues to scorch much of the country, the municipal market is feeling the heat as well. Municipal supply remains ablaze, spreading across the calendar faster than a…...

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Conceptual rendering of the Dulles Airport expansion (courtesy MWAA)

Dulles Airport Expansion May Be Fueled by Muni Bonds

Dulles International Airport is embarking on one of the largest airport modernization programs in U.S. history, with a $22.5 billion capital investment that will transform the airport into a world-class international gateway. The initiative, announced by the Metropolitan Washington Airports…...

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