SMITH'S RESEARCH & GRADINGS

Inflation, Elections, and Busy Geopolitics

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: To put it mildly, times are challenging. Inflation is up, voter moods are ugly, and the geopolitical landscape is increasingly more daunting. Volatility for markets is coming from many directions – the ups and downs of the AI industry; the playing out of higher interest rates on housing markets and the financial sector; higher oil and gas prices; inflation creeping into supply chains; and an increasingly heavy debt burden financed by higher interest borrowing. The geopolitical front is dominated by the ongoing US-Iran conflict, Houthi attacks on key Saudi infrastructure, a serious rift in US-Ukrainian relations, an escalation of Russian hybrid attacks on Ukraine’s European allies, and looming elections in Canada, France, US, Brazil, Israel, Grenada, New Zealand, and Spain. What to expect? The likelihood of a Fed rate hike is higher after the September inflation number (up from 22% to...

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Stay on top of the latest global news that can impact your investment strategy.

The Demographic Reckoning: Colleges and the Future of America’s Economy

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Demographics, Higher Education, and Future Economic Paths: It was H.G. Wells, author of The Time Machine and War of the Worlds, who stated, “History is a race between education and catastrophe.” In...

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Global economy and foreign direct investment

High Hopes on the Economy and FDI

October 13, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (as of October 6th) puts 3rd quarter real GDP at a robust 3.7%. Although this is slower than earlier reads, the pace is still strong,...

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High-yield municipal bonds

The Daily Grind

No Calm Before the Storm If you blink, you will have missed something. The bull market continues to snort ahead. Bond markets are seeing considerable new issue, which is being gobbled up. The key narratives shaping markets are inflation (which...

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Municipal bond market commentary

Market Commentary

James Kellum, Jr., Executive Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said, “As summer continues to scorch much of the country, the municipal market is feeling the heat as well. Municipal supply remains ablaze, spreading across the calendar faster than a...

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Conceptual rendering of the Dulles Airport expansion (courtesy MWAA)

Dulles Airport Expansion May Be Fueled by Muni Bonds

Dulles International Airport is embarking on one of the largest airport modernization programs in U.S. history, with a $22.5 billion capital investment that will transform the airport into a world-class international gateway. The initiative, announced by the Metropolitan Washington Airports...

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