SMITH'S RESEARCH & GRADINGS

The Daily Grind

No Calm Before the Storm If you blink, you will have missed something. The bull market continues to snort ahead. Bond markets are seeing considerable new issue, which is being gobbled up. The key narratives shaping markets are inflation (which is showing a little abatement) and labor markets (which recently showed a loss), an undercurrent of discontent with new Fed Chairman Walsh’s reduced signaling, a busy political season (no calm before the storm of the November mid-term elections), and a daunting mix of geopolitical and geoeconomic factors that are reshaping the structure of the global economy. The last factor is also reshaping the US economy, state by state, with everything from who benefits and who loses from tariffs, the need to overhaul infrastructure (including the power grid and water systems), and external threats, especially in the form of cybercrime and cyberwarfare. And dear reader, August’s economic and political volatility is...

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Stay on top of the latest global news that can impact your investment strategy.

The Demographic Reckoning: Colleges and the Future of America’s Economy

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Demographics, Higher Education, and Future Economic Paths: It was H.G. Wells, author of The Time Machine and War of the Worlds, who stated, “History is a race between education and catastrophe.” In…...

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Inflation, elections and geopolitics

Inflation, Elections, and Busy Geopolitics

October 16, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: To put it mildly, times are challenging. Inflation is up, voter moods are ugly, and the geopolitical landscape is increasingly more daunting. Volatility for markets is coming from many directions –…...

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Global economy and foreign direct investment

High Hopes on the Economy and FDI

October 13, 2026By Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.Chief Economist Summary: The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta (as of October 6th) puts 3rd quarter real GDP at a robust 3.7%. Although this is slower than earlier reads, the pace is still strong,…...

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Municipal bond market commentary

Market Commentary

James Kellum, Jr., Executive Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said, “As summer continues to scorch much of the country, the municipal market is feeling the heat as well. Municipal supply remains ablaze, spreading across the calendar faster than a…...

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Conceptual rendering of the Dulles Airport expansion (courtesy MWAA)

Dulles Airport Expansion May Be Fueled by Muni Bonds

Dulles International Airport is embarking on one of the largest airport modernization programs in U.S. history, with a $22.5 billion capital investment that will transform the airport into a world-class international gateway. The initiative, announced by the Metropolitan Washington Airports…...

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