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Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

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Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

We believe the Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 bps at its June meeting. Inflation remains well above the central bank's target (2%), real GDP growth is for Q2 is tracking close to 3.0%, unemployment remains low, and corporate earnings and services PMI remains comfortably above what are considered recessionary levels. The equity market has been wrong on the Fed pause through most 2023 and is likely to be wrong in June. — Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

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Silver Line and Purple Line Problems Underscore Challenges to Economic Development Plans

Economic development related to transportation in and around Washington, D.C. underscores the tremendous limitations and challenges facing the area.

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Clean Energy Needs Reliability Requirement

Clean energy needs to include reliability requirement as new technology advances. Transformation of the energy mix used in electricity generation globally has been focused on development of renewable sources of energy such as wind and solar, but the major stumbling block has remained reliability.

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Negative Event Risk (-1)

Here Comes the Sun

Smith's is issuing an Event Risk for Solar Flares (+1) The Solar Cycle 25 reached its lowest level in 2020 and it has started climbing higher in 2021. Forecasts predict the Solar 25 Cycle will peak in 2025.

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