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Smith's Research & Gradings
Volume: 
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Author: 
Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

Smith's Research & Gradings

Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

Smith's Chief Economist Expects Fed to Hike Rates

We believe the Fed is likely to raise rates by 25 bps at its June meeting. Inflation remains well above the central bank's target (2%), real GDP growth is for Q2 is tracking close to 3.0%, unemployment remains low, and corporate earnings and services PMI remains comfortably above what are considered recessionary levels. The equity market has been wrong on the Fed pause through most 2023 and is likely to be wrong in June.  — Scott B. MacDonald, Ph.D.

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Treasury Launches State & Local Recovery Funds

The US Treasury launched the Coronavirus State and Local Fiscal Recovery Funds, established by the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021, to provide $350 billion in emergency funding for state, local, territorial, and Tribal governments.

Persistent Drought Conditions in the West Require New Water Policies and Compacts

Over six days during the middle of June 2021, a dome of hot air languished over the western United States, causing temperatures to rise to unprecedented levels. From June 15-20, all-time maximum temperature records were set at locations in seven different states

Jobs Number May Indicate Covid Economy is Over

Wow! The U.S. economy added 467,000 jobs last month, keeping the unemployment rate in the 4.0% area. Also impressive is that there were large upward revisions from previous months. We say 'wow' because there was such negative sentiment prior to the release of the jobs number.

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